Fla. Unemployment Rate Rises to 12%
Florida’s unemployment rate rose to 12 percent in November, the highest level since April and just shy of the 12.3 percent record set earlier this year. The rate released Friday by the Florida Agency for Workforce Innovation (AWI), which is up from 11.9 percent in October, reflects more than 1.1 million jobless out of a labor force of 9.2 million. Employer surveys shows job creation statewide was flat for the month, with an increase of just 300 jobs, or about 0.1 percent. “The November unemployment rate reflects the challenges our state is facing as we slowly emerge from the national recession,” AWI Director Cynthia R. Lorenzo said in a statement. “Knowing that this is an uncertain time for many Florida families, our agency has been closely monitoring the discussion in Congress on an additional extension of federally funded unemployment benefits.” [Source: St. Petersburg Times]
As the Florida local economy is in a ebb and flow of job loss and small gains, my clientel on the buyers end has shifted. I would say about 65% of my buyers in the Pinellas County Market are foreign nationals or domestic 2nd vacation home investments. Most of my local buyers are resorting back to renewing their leases or staying tight in a home underwater. The job economy has resorted to a balanced real estate market. There are enough product out there for the amount of buyers out there. Current days on market before a home is sold in Pinellas County is 184 days. In real estate a balanced market is between 120 days – 240 days (4-8 months). A sellers market which occured in 2004-2007, average days on market was less than 90 days. Inventory was low to a high demand of buyers. A buyers market which occurs when the average days on market is more than 240 days is when there is a high supply of homes and low demand of buyers. In a buyers market, if the home is not priced effectively, or fair market value in regards to location, condition and price, it will sit and eventually will be a desperation sale on the end of a motivated seller.
In the mid 1st quarter of 2011, the local economy in Pinellas County is expecting 6,000 foreclosure homes (bank owned/REO) to be released on the market. That’s coming directly from Freddie Mac. So if you add that to the estimated hundreds of homes that will be added after the holidays, then the 6,277 single family homes currently on the market that most will roll over to the new year, there will be over 13,000 homes for sale in the late 1st quarter, early 2nd quarter of 2011. A shift to a buyers market will most likely be seen as a trend once summer hits.
Prices will decline again. Traditionally, REO properties are priced 30% below fair market value to insue an auction like atmosphere… multiple offers in a short amount of time, usually over 1 weekend. These properties are used as comparables when an appraiser tours and values a home. No way around it.
So recommendations for buyers. Armed with this information, if you need to get under contract in the next 60 days, use this with your offer. Have power to ask 5-10% below current asking price. A motivated seller will negotiate always. Have your agent, or myself, evaluate the motivation of the seller by consulting with the listing agent or ask questions to the seller directly. Not all sellers in today’s market are motivated or have found the right motivation to move.
Recommendation for sellers, if you are thinking of selling in the new year. List your property today. Serious buyers are in the market over the holidays. As you can see with waiting, your chances of being sold at top fair market value today can plummet in 2-3 months if you are not sold and priced right to begin with. In a declining market, your best day to sell was yesterday. Each day a home sits on the market, the price drops. And after 1 month your home becomes stale in the eyes of buyers. They think something must be wrong with your home if it hasn’t sold. Mostly its price. If you are currently on the market, sorry to say, its time for a price adjustment. And make it a good one. A major adjustment of 10% can make a large difference. In some cases if your closest competitor is 15% different, then make the gut check and do it! If you are not prepared to price it to sell, then you aren’t motivated to sell. If you price it slightly below market, then you may create that auction type atmosphere and have multiple offers and get a possible over asking price sale!
If you are interested in buying or selling in the Tampa Bay, FL market, call me, Rebecca The Realtor today for a free, no obligation, consultation. You get the whole truth and nothing but the truth, so help me god. For a free market evlaution for buying or selling check out www.TheTruthAboutYourHome.com.
Rebecca Paone, Keller Williams Gulfside
727-216-9253
RebeccaTheRealtor@live.com
www.RebeccaTheRealtor.net